Abstract for: Population Growth, Violence, and Troop Count in Stability Missions
Troop count in counterinsurgency and stability missions is often viewed as a fixed ratio between troops and civilians within a designated safe zone. Historically, such ratios have not proved to be realistic indicators of success in such missions. Using STELLA as a modeling tool, this project attempts to simulate the dynamics of stability missions in order to find a more effective way to deploy troops in response to fluctuations in violence and population growth. Rapid troop surges and quick-response deployment may be most effective in reduction of violence over a long-term period.