Abstract for: Dynamic modeling assessment of Water and Food Security: the San Pedro River Valley, Mexico

For life to continue and prosper, a positive balance between supply and demand of key resources – water, food, energy, ecosystem functions and human health - must exist in the continuum of time. To assess this proposition in a real life situation, a project was undertaken for Water and Food Security in the San Pedro River Valley, in the State of Aguascalientes, Mexico. We show that contemporary systemic assessment approaches like Dynamic Coupled Natural-Human Systems and the Nexus Food-Water-Energy are in the domain of the Systems and Control Theory and can be solved with Control Engineering models like ProEstado-MAUA®, an integrated dynamic model that represents natural and human processes in a watershed to simulate its long term behavior. A quantitative improvement in the understanding of Water and Food Security in the Valley was achieved and results are presented.