Abstract for: Exploring disease dynamics on coral reef ecosystems through system dynamics models
Coral reefs in the Caribbean are under a growing threat from climate change and local environmental pressures. In 2014-2015, the reefs are under an additional threat from the spread of a coral virus starting from the Florida reef. There is a lack of knowledge about coral viruses in general and the way they spread specifically. This paper introduces a model which includes two of the main hypotheses about the way a coral disease could spread. Through simulating the effects of both hypotheses, the results help researchers and policy makers to understand implications for environmental policy to limit further devastation by the virus.