REPLY Definition of root cause (SD6833)

[SDMAIL Jack Harich]

Posted by  Jack Harich <register at thwink.org>


SDMAIL Bill Braun wrote:
> Posted by  Bill Braun <bbraun at hlthsys.com>
> I am curious about the high leverage points; they are both exogenous 
> parameters (bottom of page on DuelingLoops_Paper.htm). I interpret 
> this to mean that the structure is just fine, we only need to pump 
> different content through it to achieve the results we want.

Bill,

Thanks. I don't understand what you mean by "pump different content 
through it." What is "it"? What is "pump"? What is "different content"? 
Also, I don't know what you mean by "the structure is just fine."

I can say what the paper says. The highest HLP appears to be "general 
ability to detect political deception." This is currently low, at an 
estimated 20%. If it can be raised to a high level, 80% or above, the 
race to the bottom strategies of falsehood and favoritism no longer 
work. This causes the race to the bottom's dominance to collapse, as 
Supporters Due to Degeneration flee for their lives to Supporters Due to 
Rationality. This cause the race to the top to become the dominant loop. 
This represents a possible solution to the change resistance problem the 
paper discusses.

I'd be glad to try to explain the model and answer your questions. It's 
just that I don't what to make any false assumptions. Sorry if the 
writeup is less than complete or clear. It takes a lot to describe this 
simple model, because it's a very abstract concept model and contains a 
number of novel concepts.

Perhaps a good way to proceed would be for you (or others) to quote 
passages from the Dueling Loops paper that you have questions about or 
differ with. Or in some cases, there may be no such passage, such as an 
implied premise or conclusion. The long version of the paper is the 
better source for this.

Looking forward to a productive discussion,

Jack
Posted by  Jack Harich <register at thwink.org>
posting date  Sun, 23 Mar 2008 16:48:57 -0400