REPLY Climate change (SD6241)

System Dynamics Mailing List sdmail at lists.systemdynamics.org
Tue Feb 6 06:03:31 CST 2007


Posted by  Richard Stevenson <richard at cognitus.co.uk>

I couldn't agree more with David Corben.

The human race implicitly thinks on a very short geological time  
agenda, and sadly we completely misunderstand our ability to change  
the natural long-term cycle of events.  Model what you may - climate  
models may ultimately help us to understand this system, but we are  
ultimately quite unable to change it.

This has nothing to do with whether humans are accelerating global  
warming or not - we are, but probably only accelerating it.  The long  
term solution is not to fight the system but rather to adapt to it.

Read Richard Dawkins "The Ancestors Tale"  for some insight as to how  
life on earth relates to the geological time frame.  Oh - and maybe  
also Dawkins "The God Delusion" to get a reference on how every human  
must take responsibility for his own future. Governments can't - and  
won't - take actions that can significantly alter climate change.

That means some pretty ghastly changes for our children and their  
ancestors - but better to be prepared, I think.  System Dynamics  
models, appropriately framed in time, may well provide a useful  
contribution to help people take useful decisions for themselves.

Richard Stevenson
Valculus Ltd
High Mill Farm
Markington
Harrogate
HG3 3NR
UK 
Posted by  Richard Stevenson <richard at cognitus.co.uk>
posting date  Mon, 5 Feb 2007 14:56:54 +0000


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