REPLY Climate change (SD6241)
System Dynamics Mailing List
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Tue Feb 6 06:03:31 CST 2007
Posted by Richard Stevenson <richard at cognitus.co.uk>
I couldn't agree more with David Corben.
The human race implicitly thinks on a very short geological time
agenda, and sadly we completely misunderstand our ability to change
the natural long-term cycle of events. Model what you may - climate
models may ultimately help us to understand this system, but we are
ultimately quite unable to change it.
This has nothing to do with whether humans are accelerating global
warming or not - we are, but probably only accelerating it. The long
term solution is not to fight the system but rather to adapt to it.
Read Richard Dawkins "The Ancestors Tale" for some insight as to how
life on earth relates to the geological time frame. Oh - and maybe
also Dawkins "The God Delusion" to get a reference on how every human
must take responsibility for his own future. Governments can't - and
won't - take actions that can significantly alter climate change.
That means some pretty ghastly changes for our children and their
ancestors - but better to be prepared, I think. System Dynamics
models, appropriately framed in time, may well provide a useful
contribution to help people take useful decisions for themselves.
Richard Stevenson
Valculus Ltd
High Mill Farm
Markington
Harrogate
HG3 3NR
UK
Posted by Richard Stevenson <richard at cognitus.co.uk>
posting date Mon, 5 Feb 2007 14:56:54 +0000
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