REPLY Renaming System Dynamics (SD6394)
SDMAIL Tom Forest
tforest at prometheal.com
Tue Apr 10 05:12:21 CDT 2007
Posted by Tom Forest <tforest at prometheal.com>
I resisted this thread for a long time, but Yaman Barlas' thoughtful
posting of March 24 kept summoning from my inbox and would not be filed
away until I replied to it. So saying...
When I use the term "System Dynamics" with people, I get blank looks.
Asking for familiarity with Jay Forrester, Limits to Growth, Peter Senge
or The Fifth Discipline, I might get a response from one in ten. If I say
"modeling via solving systems of nonlinear equations solved in time
series," the more technically minded nod semi-comprehendingly--maybe
another two out of ten. "Computer modeling" most people will understand,
as far as it goes, but of course SD is a tiny part of that category. Then
I might follow with "it's much like weather modeling or engineering
models, but applied to non-engineering problems: basically it's rocket
science." It still seems unsatisfying. If people are still with me, they
typically inquire about point-to-point predictions, which of course are
besides the point (sorry, couldn't resist). The key paradox has always
been that SD is about the quantitative description of qualitative
behavior, and deeply involves both the right side/left side of the brain.
We don't have many similar pursuits, and those that are closest are
musically or visually artistic. If I say SD is about designing and
building simulators and simulations, then people start thinking about
computer games, which is still somewhat frustrating but is the best I've
managed to date.
In the preface to John Sterman's excellent "Business Dynamics," which I
recently read cover-to-cover (sorry it took me so long, John!) he waits
until the third paragraph to define system dynamics (which he does not
capitalize. interestingly enough in light of this thread) as "a
perspective and set of conceptual tools that enable us to understand the
structure and dynamics of complex systems. System dynamics is also a
rigorous modeling method that enables us to build formal computer
simulations of complex systems and use them to design more effective
policies and organizations." Spot on, of course, but as befits a 982 page
textbook it's a bit on the dry side and doesn't immediately suggest an
alternative name for our field. And frankly, Jay Forrester borrowed the
term system dynamics from his engineering background so we don't even have
priority in usage.
What do you use for your elevator speeches, 15-second sound bite
descriptions of SD, to pique someone's interest? Yaman, how about that
naming contest?
Tom Lum Forest
Forest Grove, Oregon USA
Posted by Tom Forest <tforest at prometheal.com>
posting date Mon, 9 Apr 2007 21:39:24 -0800
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