2016 Conference Proceedings Available

The online version of the full proceedings of the 2016 Delft Conference, including the final version of papers supplied by authors, is now available (open source) here.

The list of papers, workshops, and events is organized alphabetically by author with links to each paper. There are additional links to abstracts, supporting materials, and web sources when provided. You will also find information on ordering a bound, printed set which will include an ISBN.

Other links available on this web page include:

Please keep in mind the following important guidelines for our Conference Proceedings:

Conference papers and presentations are a networking tool for members of the Society and those who attend the conference. The Conference provides a venue for presenting work and receiving comments that can strengthen the work and help to prepare it for wider distribution.

The Society will produce and maintain Web Proceedings of abstracts and papers to provide a complete record of presentations at the Conference. The Web Proceedings are not intended to be a substitute for publishing in peer-reviewed journals.

The strength of the field requires publishing good work, to reach audiences beyond those attending our conferences. Consult with highly experienced professional System Dynamics colleagues for suggestions on making your work ready for publication and for suggestions of where to publish.

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The Return of the Prodigal Son
By Jose J. Gonzalez

This is a note of gratitude for the warm reception given to me by many colleagues when I attended the International Conference of the System Dynamics Society in Delft after nine years of absence. It was like the prodigal son returning home!

As to token of gratitude I share with you a story with a Black Swan, where a time delayed effect plays a role in the punch line. The story has no professional interest otherwise but you may enjoy it.

Before I tell the story, I give you a brief overview of the reasons for my being absent from the conference since 2007. Participation in projects on disaster management and resilience funded by the European Union was part of the reason. Funding and directing a center for disaster management (Center for Integrated Emergency Management, CIEM) was another reason. There is limited funding to attend conferences so that I had to give preference to conferences like AMCIS, CRITIS, HICSS, ISCRAM and TIEMS where disaster management and resilience play a key role. This year it happened that I delivered a keynote in Spain a couple of days before the Delft conference. Thus I had secured funding for the travel from Norway to Spain, with Amsterdam in the middle of the route.

As to resilience, you may like to inspect this link for information about the EU project Smart Mature Resilience.

Now the Black Swan with a time delayed effect.

In 1973, I was in summer vacation in Spain, shortly after I had moved to Norway. Luis Merino, a Spanish businessman who was a friend of my parents, asked for my help. Back in 1927, when he was twenty years old, Luis noticed a tall, blond guy who used to sit alone in bars and cafes and drink a bit too much cheap wine. It was Vincent Bommen, a young Norwegian who was sent by his family to Spain to learn the language. Luis Merino and Vincent Bommen became close friends. When Vincent returned to Norway one year later, he had learned Spanish and had become a connoisseur of wines.

For many years Luis and Vincent exchanged letters regularly. Then the Second World War started and Germany attacked Norway in 1940. June 1940 Luis got the last letter from Vincent: He was about to leave Norway in a British ship heading for England.

After the Second World War Luis send letters to Vincent’s old address in Oslo. The letters came back, marked “unknown addressee.”

Luis asked me whether I could find out what happened to Vincent Bommen. I promised to send a letter to Norwegian newspapers. Norway had only four million inhabitants. I expected that among the tens of thousands who read the newspaper somebody would know about Vincent Bommen.

I didn’t need to write the letter to the newspapers. The very first day after returning to Norway I had some dealings at the Norwegian University of Science and Technology, where I had a post-doctor position. I noticed a big poster announcing scholarships from his Majesty Kind Olav V. Signed his Majesty’s Cabinet Secretary Vincent Bommen.

Vincent Bommen wrote back that he was very happy that I reestablished the connection to Luis Merino. He promised to invite Luis to Norway and he did so at once.

Vincent wanted also to meet me whenever I came to Oslo. By chance I had to travel to the Spanish Embassy in Oslo a couple of weeks later. Vincent Bommen sent me a letter of invitation to the Royal Palace.

At the given time I went to the appointment. Norway was an easygoing country. I was young, candid and republican (read: not impressed by Royalty). I did not take the Royal Guard seriously and proceeded to walk into the palace. The Guard didn’t know how to handle the situation; they waived with their hands and cried “What are you doing!” Today they would point their guns to me, suspecting me of an act of terrorism.

A lackey came running out of the palace and inquired about my purpose. I told him that I had an appointment with Mr Vincent Bommen. “With his Majesty’s Cabinet Secretary Vincent Bommen?” Yes, I replied. “In audience?” There was not mention of “audience” in Vincent Bommen’s letter of invitation, but I thought that it was wise to nod “yes”.

I had a very nice meeting with Vincent Bommen. He told me about his wonderful time in Spain back in 1927. But he didn’t mention his interest in good wines.

Once I told the story at party. A Norwegian businessman exploded in laughter. I can tell you another story about Vincent Bommen. He told me the following story.

Back in the 1960’s the King of Norway headed a Norwegian delegation to France. His Majesty’s Cabinet Secretary travelled in advance to France to arrange the visit. One of the meetings was with French industry, who hosted a huge reception dinner. Vincent Bommen alerted the host that his Majesty Kind Olav was very fond of Chateau d’Yquem. Chateau d’Yquem, from Sauternes, Bordeaux is maybe the world’s most famous and expensive sweet wine. It is not a wine that you normally find at the next wine shop. Several cases were ordered from the producer for the occasion.

At the feast of the French industry excellent wines were served to accompany each dish. The dessert came and Chateau d’Yquem was in the glass. King Olav tried the wine but he didn’t seem to pay much attention to it. After a way the host inquired if the wine was of his Majesty’s liking. “The wine? Let me try!” After tasting it consciously the king said: “Nice wine! Which wine is it?” “It is a Chateau d’Yquem”, his Majesty”, said the host. “Chateau d’Yquem? Yeah, I know the wine. It is a wine that my Cabinet Secretary likes very much.”

That was a time delayed effect of Vincent Bommen’s wine experiences with Luis Merino back in Spain in 1927.

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Awards Given at the Conference

The Jay Wright Forrester Award recognizes the authors of the best contribution to the field of System Dynamics in the preceding five years. The Forrester Award, presented as often as once annually, is the highest award given by the System Dynamics Society. This year the award was presented to Shayne Gary and Robert Wood, for their winning work, Mental models, decision rules, and performance heterogeneity, published in June, 2011, in the Strategic Management Journal. Congratulations to Shayne and Robert on your outstanding achievement!

Pictured left to right: Shayne Gary and John Sterman

The System Dynamics Society Outstanding Service Award recognizes individuals that have, on a volunteer basis, made exceptional contributions to the Society over an extended period of time. This year the Society awarded Yaman Barlas the Outstanding Service Award in grateful recognition of his exceptional volunteer contributions to the System Dynamics Society.

Pictured left to right: Bob Eberlein, David Andersen, Roberta Spencer, Yaman Barlas, and Peter Milling (missing Andrew Ford, Committee member)

The Lupina Young Researchers Award is given annually for outstanding papers dealing with health-related topics authored by students. The 2016 recipients were Bramka Arga Jafino and Pedram Soltani for their paper Saving Lives and Time: Tackling Transportation Induced Air Pollution in Jakarta. The Lupina Award Committee of four judges (Gary Hirsch, Jack Homer, Wayne Wakeland, David Lounsbury, Chair) agreed that this was a strong paper with important health policy implications, and that it was most deserving of recognition among those submitted for consideration.

Pictured left to right: David Lounsbury, Bramka Arga Jafino, Pedram Soltani, and Gary Hirsch

The Barry Richmond Scholarship Award is presented annually to a deserving Systems Thinking or System Dynamics practitioner whose work demonstrates a desire to expand the field or to apply it to current social issues. This year’s recipient was Jeffrey Walters from the Universidad Diego Portales, Santiago, Chile.

Pictured from left to right: Bob Eberlein, Karim Chichakly, and Jeffery Walters

Best Poster Award Winners

At the 34th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, two poster presentations received the award of Best Poster Winner. The awards were presented to Joona Tuovinen for his poster The Dynamics of Product Commonality: Implications of the circular causality between product and firm structures, and Andrea Navarrete, Camilo Olaya, and Juliana Gomez-Quintero, for their poster To Legislate or not to Legislate? That is the Question: How Legislative Inflation Boosts Prison Overcrowding. Congratulations on your outstanding poster presentations!

Joona Tuovinen
Camilo Olaya

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Accreditation and Certification for System Dynamics: Meeting 20-July-2016, at Delft conference

This is a summary of a meeting held at the Delft 2016 System Dynamics Conference concerning whether the Society should seek to develop an Accreditation service for University and other teaching bodies and a Certification service for new and developing practitioners. Parties present included the Society President and others with an interest in the topic, but the meeting’s purpose was to understand and share the issues involved - it had no decision-making status.

Speakers provided insight from involvement in other professional societies and from experience of using other professional accreditation systems in Universities. Further key inputs were [a] the work of Martin Schaffernicht and Stefan Grosser on a schema of capability-levels in system dynamics, to be published in August 2016 in System Dynamics Review, and [b] Len Malczynski’s efforts to review and compare the content of existing System Dynamics courses.

The conclusions of the discussion were:

Submitted by Etiënne Rouwette

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Summer School held

The pre-conference System Dynamics Summer School started on Wednesday, July 13. It was held at the Delft University of Technology. Again this year, the summer school was taught by leaders in the field and allowed for individual and group instruction.

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Thank You!

Many thanks to all who contributed their writing, photographs, and information to this conference section of the newsletter. Thanks to all conference volunteers: Babak Bahaddin, Shane Carnohan, Giovanni Cunico, Devin Diran, Yola Effendi, Paola Espin, Oscar Garay, Laura Garcia Lopez, Azam Ghezelbash, Jonatan Godinez Madrigal, Bart Hutten, Bramka Arga Jafino, Raphael Klein, Ramona Malczynski, Sjoerd Meeuwsen, Franziska Meinherz, Grace Nava Guerrero, Ivan Radulovic, Weijia Ran, Sophie Rich, Philipp Schwarz, Charlotte Sederel, Rhythima Shinde, Miriam Spano, Niels Van Rosmalen, and Menglin Xia.

Conference photos are provided by: Jonatan Godinez Madrigal, Franziska Meinherz, and many others.

A sincere THANK YOU to all conference sponsors!

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The System Dynamics Newsletter is published by the System Dynamics Society.
Editors: Babak Bahaddin, Carrie Stickan, Erin Sheehan, LouAnne Lundgren, Roberta L. Spencer, and Robin Langer.