The System Dynamics Bibliography continues to grow. The Proceedings from the Cambridge Conference are being added and the ‘2015c’ version will be uploaded as soon as the process is complete.
Responding to an earlier request, there have been references added that are in languages other than English. Users are able to search the ‘language’ field to see if there are references available in their native language. Many of the older references have been updated with the language field. Check it out if you are looking for a reference in French, Chinese, Italian, Spanish, Portuguese, or one of more than 10 other languages. If you find an incorrect language field, please let us know and we will correct it.
Many of our students use a free and open source reference management software called Zotero. We are working to export our EndNotes files to Zotero so that when the ‘2015c’ version is uploaded, Zotero will be one of five formats that can be used to download the Bibliography. We hope that this will make the Bibliography more accessible to you.
We have been looking at the reference numbers in the Bibliography over the past 15 years. In 2005, there were 7,754 items. By 2010, there were 9,358. When the ‘2015c’ version is uploaded, the number of references will be over 11,300!
As always, the most recently submitted journal articles can be found on the Bibliographic Updates page. Please send us your references to help us grow our Bibliography and so that it will be as up to date as possible.
The Exchange: Land Management Simulation in the Classroom
The Fall 2015 issue of The Exchange, published quarterly by the Creative Learning Exchange, is now available online. This newsletter features a land management simulation module for K-12 students. The free simulation lesson, entitled "Living Lands—Forest and Town," leads students through issues related to the management of national forest lands and the support of surrounding populations. Objectives in this simulation are to manage natural resources in an environmentally sustainable way while improving economic viability for a fictional town over fifty years. Also outlined in this issue of The Exchange is a list of seven presentations—all relevant to the process of learning and teaching System Dynamics principles—that were given at this summer’s International System Dynamics Society Conference in Cambridge. Additionally included is a summary of George P. Richardson’s problem-solving session from DynamiQueST in May, describing how the distribution of mosquito nets to prevent malaria in Africa has led to overfishing in communities across the continent. View Richardson's application of systems thinking to teach students System Dynamics on page eight of The Exchange.
Creative Learning Exchange Summer Newsletter
The Summer 2015 issue of The Creative Learning Exchange’s Newsletter The Exchange is now available on their website. In this issue, read about Executive Director Lees Stuntz's "whirlwind tour" of Tucson schools and the ways they have incorporated systems thinking and System Dynamics lessons into their curriculums. Also in the newsletter is an update on the Eighth Annual DynamiQueST Expo which took place this past May, and information about the next Systems Thinking and Dynamics Modeling Conference for K-12 in June 2016, in Wellesley, Massachusetts.
Offers for Paris Climate Talks Would Reduce Warming by 1°C
Climate Interactive’s Climate Scoreboard analysis, produced in partnership with the Massachusetts Institute of Technology Sloan School of Management (MIT Sloan), shows that the intended nationally determined contributions (INDCs) put forward in advance of the UN climate talks this December make a sizeable contribution towards curbing global emissions and limiting warming. However, the offers need to be paired with further action if warming is to be kept below the 2°C target, avoiding the worst impacts of catastrophic climate change. Please see the full news release of their new analysis of the expected impact of the emissions pledges nations have made in the run up to Paris. The climate scoreboard is an embeddable widget that people can embed on their sites, blogs, etc. and will automatically update as analysis is revised when new pledges come in. The New York Times and in Science Magazine Science Insider (dated September 28, 2015) have pick up this story so far. In 2013 the work Climate Interactive: The C-ROADS Climate Policy Model, by John Sterman, Thomas Fiddaman, Travis Franck, Andrew Jones, Stephanie McCauley, Philip Rice, Elizabeth Sawin and Lori Siegel, won the Society’s System Dynamics Applications Award for the best "real world" application of System Dynamics.
A selection of System Dynamics papers is presented now in the special issue of Systems Research and Behavioral Science.
In April 2013, many of our Society members participated in the 6th Annual European System Dynamics Workshop at Koç University in Istanbul, Turkey. The purpose of this event was to explore policy strategies for the European Commission’s Horizon 2020 initiatives. A selection of papers from this workshop is presented now as full journal articles in the July-August 2015 special issue of Systems Research and Behavioral Science. Guest editors David Lane, Ӧzge Pala and Yaman Barlas outline the aims and content of the collection in their introduction; "Health, Demographic Change and Well-Being: The European Union’s Horizon 2020 Programme and System Dynamics." Fifteen of our Society members are featured on topics such as: food provision and environmental goals in the social-ecological framework (+); methods for exploring social-ecological System Dynamics (+); changing client perceptions through model validation (+); validity—a core value early in the pioneering days of in System Dynamics—now also critical in the disciplines of Operational Research and Management Science (+); consequences of performance-based systems in public hospitals (+); more analysis of pay-for-performance plans (+); a System Dynamics approach to societal ageing (+); and government and outcome-based performance management in the context of societal ageing (+). David, Ӧzge and Yaman hope this collection is of scholarly value to Society members, and invite members to explore and debate the contents of this issue.
Creating and Sustaining Client Interest
The 3rd Brazilian System Dynamics Symposium and Workshop was held on October 16-17, 2015. Friday’s schedule included presentations and discussions focusing on twenty-two papers accepted to the symposium, with the participation of four invited speakers/discussants. This will included plenary sessions during the day and a poster-session with reception in the evening. On Saturday, participants attended a full-day workshop focused on engaging stakeholders and clients in applied modeling and simulation. The instructors lectured on the theme of working with clients in the real world, sharing their own experiences and, then, facilitated thread-based discussions aimed at promoting applications in Brazil. The group-discussion threads were chosen based upon symposium submissions and topics of interest to the participants. The Syposium opened with 48 participants and a presentation by Amit Bhaya on "Modeling the liquid bulk upstream supply chain to offshore installations." Among the presenters: Andy Ford, Markus Schwaninger, Isaac Dyner, and Karim Chichakly.
Dartmouth Engineer Magazine article about students presenting at Cambridge Conference
In the "CoolStuff" section of this magazine, the projects of three Dartmouth non-engineering majors, who presented at the Cambridge conference, were highlighted. The projects included work on gaining an understanding of the logical mechanisms of transmission of Ebola, by Sara Peterson; the production of agriculture and biofuels in Ethiopia, by Patrick Campbell; and the supply chain of ISIS terrorists in France, by Cecelia Shao. The article also describes the course ENGS 18: System Dynamics in Policy Design and Analysis, which is offered to the greater Dartmouth community in an effort to spread engineering concepts to non-majors. Please see the full article.
Society for Organizational Learning Offers New Program
In celebration of the 25th Anniversary of the Fifth Discipline, by Peter Senge, the Society for Organizational Learning is offering "Applied Organizational Learning for Business Results" on December 7, 2015, through December 11, 2015, at The Warren Center in Ashland. Massachusetts. Presented by Peter Senge, Rick Karash, and Deborah Reidy, this highly interactive workshop will demonstrate the tools and methods necessary for building learning organizations and apply them to your most pressing business challenges. Individuals and teams from all sectors – corporate, non-profit, government and education – who recognize that a new way of doing business is needed to survive and succeed in the 21st century are encouraged to attend.
System Dynamics Review Early View
Early view articles of System Dynamics Review are now available online.
"Research" article -- "Does analytical thinking improve understanding of accumulation?" written by Arash Baghaei Lakeh, and Navid Ghaffarzadegan.
"Notes and insights" article "SDXchange: stand-alone translators to enable XMILE model adaptation, transportation, and exchange" by Robert Ward, James Houghton, and Ivan A. Perl.
"Research" article -- "Exploring retailers' ordering decisions under delays" written by Sebastián Villa, Paulo Gonçalves, and Santiago Arango.
"Research" article -- "Towards the algorithmic detection of archetypal structures in System Dynamics" written by Lukas Schoenenberger, Alexander Schmid and Markus Schwaninger.
Two System Dynamics-based articles will be published in the upcoming ISOCARP Review
Two System Dynamics-based articles will be published in the upcoming ISOCARP Review, a publication of the International Society of City and Regional Planners. This edition of the Review celebrates the 50th anniversary of the Society and is titled "Reinventing Planning: Examples for the Profession." The first article describes the use of a land-use simulation model, ALCES, to estimate the impacts likely to result from the next 50 years of population growth in the Calgary, Canada area. The analysis compares the consequences of continued reliance on low density suburban development with a proposed regional plan that incorporates densification. ALCES incorporates a Stella-based System Dynamics model for holistic assessment of the cumulative effects of land use to environmental and economic systems. Authors of this article are Matt Carlson, Michael Quinn and Brad Stelfox. The second article re-examines Forrester’s controversial book, Urban Dynamics, published in 1969. Using a computer model, Forrester’s book explores how federal housing policies and the state’s efforts to help the needy might impact the City of Boston and its cohorts. Khalid Saeed presents a paper, that describes Forrester’s model of growth and stagnation in urban areas, establishes it’s linkage to Schumpeter’s concept of creative destruction and finally demonstrates the continued value and utility of this historic System Dynamic application to economic development. The ISOCARP Review will be published October 2015. Copies of the Review can obtained by contacting ISOCARP (International Society of City and Regional Planners). Once the publication is released, copies of the articles can be obtained by contacting the authors at (http://www.alces.ca/) and (SAEED@wpi.edu).
NEW Available for Sale: Urban Dynamics
What makes cities degenerate? What can be done to revitalize stagnant urban areas? In this controversial book, Urban Dynamics, Jay Forrester presents a computer model describing the major internal forces controlling the balance of population, housing, and industry within an urban area. He then simulates the life cycle of a city and predicts the impact of proposed remedies on the system. Startling in its conclusions, this book became the basis of a major research effort that has influenced many government urban-policy decisions. Limited copies of this book are available. Orders will be taken for next printing. To order the book, please visit the Society’s book store.
Special issue on System Dynamics and Operations Management
The Journal of Operations Management has just published a special issue on System Dynamics and Operations Management. The special issue was edited by Elliot Bendoly (Ohio State), Kevin Linderman (Univiversity of Minnesota), Rogelio Oliva (Texas A&M) and John Sterman (MIT). The issue is available to subscribers or those with other institutional access. Right now the papers are available online prior to publication. The special issue includes the following papers.
Try the #SystemDynamics tool used by UN #climate negotiators in an interactive webinar
Apply System Dynamics to climate change with the World Climate negotiation simulation by joining free webinars. Developed by Climate Interactive and MIT, World Climate is being used to engage thousands worldwide in cultivating leadership around climate change. Free webinars are happening every week this fall in anticipation of the December United Nations (UN) talks in Paris. Register at: https://www.climateinteractive.org/world-climate-project/ The "How to Run A World Climate Event" webinar will provide an overview of the World Climate exercise and include an interactive demo of the System Dynamics model, C-ROADS, that is used to accompany the simulation to assess emission reductions. Drew Jones, co-director of Climate Interactive, and Ellie Johnston, Manager of the World Climate Project with be the presenters on this webinar. A second webinar, titled "Interactive Simulation Tools for Assessing the Global Climate Deal" will explore the dynamics of C-ROADS and the latest assessment of pledges to the UN. More technical than the first webinar. On August 20th, World Climate was featured as a climate education initiative at the White House. In 2013, this model won the System Dynamics Society’s application award. Adoption of this transformative simulation tool is occurring worldwide. Learn what all the buzz about this systems thinking tool is all about.
Climate Interactive Announces Mock-UN Climate Negotiations Game at the White House
Climate Interactive announced the World Climate Project at a Back-to-School Climate Education Event at the White House. The World Climate Exercise is a role-playing simulation game that puts teams, classrooms, and communities into the role of international climate negotiators to create a pathway to solutions that limit global warming. Through these simulation games, Climate Interactive plans to reach more than 10,000 people by December, when nations will come together to finalize a global agreement on climate change in Paris.
System Dynamics Africa Chapter 2nd International Workshop in January 2016
The System Dynamics Africa Chapter is organizing its 2nd International Chapter Workshop on System Dynamics and Data Analytics (IAWSD 2016). "Systems Modelling for Sustainable Development" will be held at the Kenya School of Monetary Studies in Nairobi, Kenya on January 21-22, 2016. Authors are invited to submit original basic or applied research, case studies, critical review essays, surveys, opinions and commentaries on how System Dynamics may address societal challenges. There are many topics of interest including, but not limited to, green energy, smart cities, and environmental conservation. Participants will benefit from an international perspective and meaningful insights of leading System Dynamics experts and fellow delegates from the Africa region and the rest of the world. Important dates and registration details can be found HERE.
First Mediterranean Conference on Food Supply and Distribution Systems in Urban Environments
The System Dynamics Italian Chapter's "First Mediterranean Conference on Food Supply and Distribution Systems in Urban Environments" took place in Rome from July 6-7, 2015. Along with program and organizing chair, Stefano Armenia, the organizing team included Olivio Argenti, Andrea Furlan, Alberto Atzori, Vanessa Armendariz, Valerio Ciuffini, and Eleanor Piacenza. The Sapienza University of Rome served as the host of the conference which was a great success. Check out more pictures HERE.
News from the XMILE Technical Committee
On Monday, July 20, 2015, during the annual research conference in Cambridge, Massachusetts, the XMILE Technical Committee voted unanimously to submit the XMILE 1.0 specification dated 29 October 2014 as a candidate OASIS standard. The committee then waited several months to meet the requirements of OASIS. Now, there will be a 60-day Public Review and finally a ballot within OASIS. If the ballot is successful, XMILE will become an OASIS standard.
Strategy Dynamics Essentials now available in paperback
Strategy Dynamics Essentials shows how to develop a joined-up strategy plan with rigorous, practical frameworks that anyone can use. The method leads to working, quantified models that support the main aim of strategy - strong, sustainable performance over long periods of time. The book provides access to numerous working examples. Strategy Dynamics is a helpful method to use on many problems in business, ecology, healthcare, and HR to name a few, but is primarily aimed at executives, analysts, consultants and business students at all levels. Its method works for any enterprise, or any component part, of any scale, in any sector, and at any stage - including before a new venture starts or an expected challenge takes place. It can be used for continued strategic planning or to deal with any issue an enterprise may face. Over the last few years this condensed version of the textbook Strategic Management Dynamics (published by Wiley), has been available in PDF and Kindle formats only, but it is now available in paperback from Amazon stores globally and a new Kindle textbook-replica format. The text has been updated to take into account the Sysdea software and to improve layout. Registered teachers can also download an inspection copy free of charge. For more information, chapter outlines and links to global Amazon stores, visit the Strategy Dynamics LTD website.
Society to Collapse by 2040?
A recent article in the Mint Press News, "Society to Collapse by 2040 Due to Catastrophic Food Shortages, Environmental Disaster," explains how industrial civilization will cease to exist if the current course of events is not altered. The article is based on new scientific models supported by the British government’s Foreign Office. But, the scientists who conducted the study maintain that the models are not predictive as they do not include any reaction from people to the crises. The topic of sustainability is also found in the book 2052: A Global Forecast for the Next Forty Years by Society member Jorgen Randers. Published in 2012, Randers’s book draws on his experience in the sustainability arena as well as input from numerous experts to synthesize a prediction of what the world will look like in 2052. From population and consumption to energy and ecosystems, 2052 provides an in depth analysis of what lies ahead and what we all can do.
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Request for News
The System Dynamics Newsletter is published three times every year. Please send us your letters, news, photographs, and ideas to be included in one of the newsletters! Additionally, if you would like to contribute an article of interest to our community, please send your article to the Society office. All past newsletters, since January1988, are available on the Society website, Publications/Newsletters.