50th

Conference Proceedings
The 2007 International Conference of the System Dynamics Society
and 50th Anniversay Celebration
July 29 – August 2, 2007, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
ISBN 978-0-9745329-8-1

To view the printed abstract proceedings that was given to all attendees, go to proceed.pdf. To access the full papers, supporting materials, and links from most contributors please scroll down to the PAPER INDEX below.

These papers were presented at the conference and are listed listed alphabetically by the last name of the first author. To find a paper by an author who is not the first author simply search on the author's name. Papers are Acrobat (.pdf) files and can be read using Acrobat Reader available from http://www.adobe.com. Supplementary material are usually archives or models which may require additional software. For details on "Reading Supporting Materials" go to supp_mat.htm. Links, when shown, were current at the time of publication. These links were supplied by the authors and may provide more or newer information related to the paper.

For details about purchasing a copy of the printed proceedings, visit our website System Dynamics Society or send an email to office@systemdynamics.org


PAPER INDEX - listed alphabetically by first author:

Adamides, Emmanuel with Nikolaos Pomonis and George Papachristos   Path dependence and transients in random and adaptive walks on strategy fitness landscapes   Abstract Paper

Adamides, Emmanuel with George Papaioannou and George Papachristos   Thinking global, acting local: The activities of the Hellenic Chapter of the System Dynamics Society   Abstract

Akcam, Bahadir with Deborah Andersen, David Andersen and Anthony Cresswell   Secondary Data Analysis in System Dynamics Modeling   Abstract

Akkermans, Henk with Willem van Oppen   From Mopping the Floor to Fixing the Plumbing: How KPN Telecom Uses SD to Improve Ramp-ups In its Service Supply Network   Abstract Paper

Akkermans, Henk   Beyond Rounding Up the Usual Suspects: Towards Effective Quality Management Policies for Production Ramp-ups in Supply Chains   Abstract Paper Supporting

Altamirano, Mónica with Juha Aijo and Pertti Virtala   A Qualitative Analysis of Periodic Maintenance of Roads   Abstract Paper

An, Lianjun with Young Lee   Modeling Dynamics of Workforce Absenteeism and Effectiveness of Mitigation Actions During Pandemics   Abstract Paper

Andersen, David with George Richardson, Fran Ackermann and Colin Eden   Two Group Model Building Scripts that Integrate Systems Thinking into Strategy Workshops Facilitated with Group Explore   Abstract Paper

Andersen, David with John Morecroft and Roberta Spencer   How the System Dynamics Society Came to Be: A Collective Memoir   Abstract Paper Link

Anderson, Edward with Laura Black   Accumulations of Legitimacy: Exploring Insurgency and Counter-Insurgency Dynamics   Abstract Paper

Arango, Santiago with Erling Moxnes   Cyclical behaviour in electricity markets: an experimental study   Abstract Paper

Araujo, Ewandro with Luc Cassivi, Martin Cloutier and Elie Elia   Improving the Software Development Process: A Dynamic Model Using the Capacity Maturity Model   Abstract Paper

Arif, Seema with Ijaz Yusuf   Pakistan Chapter Poster Presentation   Abstract

Arndt, Holger   Using System Dynamics-based Learning Environments to Enhance System Thinking   Abstract Paper Supporting

Arquitt, Steven   The dynamics of nutrient reduction trading: a simulation-based search for effective poicy design   Abstract Paper

Askar, Mohamed with Ahmed Marzouk and Maha Resk   Modeling the Dynamics of the Egyptian Stock Market   Abstract Paper

Atilgan, Canan with Güven Demirel and Ali Rana Atilgan   Landscape Dynamics of El Farol attendees   Abstract Paper

Azar, Ahmad with Khaled Wahba and Abdalla Mohamed   System Dynamics Highlights the Effect of Maintenance on Hemodialysis Performance   Abstract Paper

Bakken, Bent Erik   Developing and fine-tuning dynamic intuition. Experimental evidence.   Abstract

Bakken, Bent Erik   Military Roundtable   Abstract

Barlas, Yaman   Structure and Behavior Testing Software Demonstration: SiS and BTS II*   Abstract

Barlas, Yaman with Birnur Ozbas and Onur Ozgun   Modeling of Real Estate Price Oscillations in Istanbul   Abstract Paper

Bassi, Andrea   Threshold 21 (T21) USA: Behavior Description   Abstract Paper

Bayer, Steffen with Martina Koberle-Gaiser and James Barlow   Planning for Adaptability in Healthcare Infrastructure   Abstract Paper

Beall, Allyson with Andrew Ford   Participatory Modeling for Adaptive Management: Reports from the Field II   Abstract Paper

Bean, Michael   Methods to Make Your Simulation Run on the World-Wide Web   Abstract

BenDor, Todd   Modeling the Wetland Mitigation Process: A New Dynamic Vision of No Net Loss Policy   Abstract Paper Supporting

Bier, Asmeret with Andrew Ford   A Classroom Simulation of a Tradable Green Certificate Market and Implications for Model Development   Abstract Paper

Bivona, Enzo with Francesco Ceresia and Giovan Battista Montemaggiore   Exploring the Underground Economy through System Dynamics to support Public Decision Makers: a preliminary qualitative analysis   Abstract Paper

Bivona, Enzo   Exploring Intellectual Capital Investments Policies in a Call Center through A ‘System Dynamics’ Resource Based View   Abstract Paper

Borshchev, Andrei   Getting Started with AnyLogic Software   Abstract

Bosshardt, Mathias with Silvia Ulli-Beer, Fritz Gassmann and Alexander Wokaun   Developing a diffusion model of competing alternative drive-train technologies (cadt-model)   Abstract Paper

Brady, Malcolm   Advertising effectiveness and spillover: simulating strategic interaction using advertising   Abstract Paper

Braun, Bill   The Dynamics of the Eroding Goals Archetype   Abstract Paper Supporting

Buendia, Fernando   Self-organizing Markets   Abstract Paper

Bueno, Newton   A macroeconomic systemic model for the Brazilian economy   Abstract Paper Supporting

Burns, James with Balaji Janamanchi   Dynamics of a Democracy Deeply in Debt: Simulation Studies of Federal Revenue and the Capacity of the U.S. to Service its Debt   Abstract Paper

Butler, John with Wai-ming Mak   Organizational Growth and Population Dynamics: Strategies for Success   Abstract Paper

Campbell, Deborah   SDS Membership Roundtable   Abstract

Cavana, Robert with Martin Tobias   Using system dynamics to analyse policy options for tobacco control in New Zealand   Abstract Paper

Chaim, Ricardo   Dynamic Stochasticity in the control of liquidity in Asset and Liability Management (ALM) for pension funds   Abstract Paper

Chang, Myong-Hun   Non-Equilibrium Industry Dynamics with Knowledge-Based Competition: An Agent-Based Computational Model   Abstract Paper

Chichakly, Karim   Modeling Agile Development: When is it Effective?   Abstract Paper Supporting

Chichakly, Karim   SMILE and XMILE: A Common Language and Interchange Format for System Dynamics   Abstract Paper Supporting

Chiong Meza, Catherine with G.P.J. Dijkema and Cornelia van Daalen   Scenario Analysis using System Dynamics Modelling:The case of Production Portfolio Change in the Dutch Paper and Board Industry   Abstract Paper Supporting

Chirico, Francesco with Gianluca Colombo   The effect of Family Inertia on the Value Creation Process in Family Firms: New Insights from a Simulation Study   Abstract Paper

Chomiakow, Daniel   A Generic Pattern for Modeling Manufacturing Companies   Abstract Paper Supporting

Choucri, Nazli with Daniel Goldsmith, Stuart Madnick, J. Bradley Morrison and Michael Siegel   Using System Dynamics to Model and Better Understand State Stability   Abstract Paper

Clark, Thomas with Mary Jones   Achieving Competitive Advantage in a High Turnover, Dynamic Market: A Causal Model Approach   Abstract Paper

Cody, John with Robert Cavana and David Pearson   Social structure and health: preliminary work on a system dynamics ‘concept model’   Abstract Paper

Colombo, Gianluca with Francesco Chirico   Understanding Family Businesses as Value Creating Systems through System Dynamics   Abstract Link

Comaschi, Carlo with Vincenzo Di Giulio and Eleonora Sormani   Natural gas demand and supply in Italy   Abstract Paper Supporting

Cooke, David with Huiming Yang, Gil Curry, Paul Rogers, Thomas Rohleder, Robert Lee and David Strong   Introducing System Dynamics Modeling to Health Care in Alberta   Abstract Paper

Cronrath, Eva-Maria with Alexander Zock   Forecasting the Diffusion of Innovations by Analogies: Examples of the Mobile Telecommunication Market   Abstract Paper Supporting

Cruz Barrientos, Margarita   Evaluating System Dynamics as a Tool for Teaching History   Abstract Paper

Dangerfield, Brian   UK Chapter Poster Presentation   Abstract

Dattee, Brice with David FitzPatrick, Henry Weil and Steffen Bayer   The Dynamics of Technological Substitutions   Abstract Paper Supporting

Deegan, Michael   Exploring U.S. Flood Mitigation Policies: A Feedback View of System Behavior   Abstract Paper Supporting

Derwisch, Sebastian with Birgit Kopainsky   Modelling the role of Intellectual Property Management for the development of the agricultural sector in developing countries -   Abstract

Dhawan, Rajat with Marcus O'Connor and Mark Borman   What Our Mental Models Retain and What They Don’t: An Experimental Follow-up of System Dynamics Intervention   Abstract

Dhawan, Rajat with Marcus O'Connor and Mark Borman   Qualitative, Quantitative or both?: An Experimental Investigation   Abstract

do Nascimento, Niraldo with Leonardo Reis   Brazil Chapter Poster Presentation   Abstract Link

Du, Yong   Incorporating System Dynamics Modeling into Goal-oriented Adaptive Requirements Engineering   Abstract Paper Supporting

Dudley, Richard   The Equity Supply Chain: Is it the Cause of So Few Women in Management and Leadership Positions?   Abstract Paper Supporting

Dudley, Richard   Environmental Roundtable - Environmental Idea Marketplace   Abstract

Dudley, Richard with Allyson Beall and Tom Forest   The Environment Special Interest Group Poster Presentation   Abstract Link

Duggan, Jim   Modelling Agent-Based Systems Using System Dynamics   Abstract Supporting

Duggan, Jim   A Simulator for Continuous Agent-Based Modelling   Abstract Paper Supporting

Dulac, Nicolas with Brandon Owens, Nancy Leveson and John Carroll   A Hybrid Approach to the Creation of Dynamic Risk Management Models   Abstract Paper

Duran Encalada, Jorge with Alberto Paucar-Caceres   Sustainability Model for the Valsequillo Lake in Puebla, Mexico: Combining System Dynamics and Sustainable Urban Development   Abstract Paper Supporting

Dutt, Varun with Cleotilde Gonzalez   Slope of Inflow Impacts Dynamic Decision Making   Abstract Paper Supporting

Dyner, Isaac with Santiago Arango and Carlos Franco   Can a Reliability Charge Secure Electricity Supply? An SD-based assessment of the Colombian power market   Abstract Paper

Dyner, Isaac   Energy Roundtable   Abstract

Eberlein, Robert   Getting Started with Vensim®   Abstract Link

Egner, Joanne with Karim Chichakly and Paul Gisborne   Getting Started with STELLA and iThink   Abstract Paper Supporting

El-Minisy, Mohamed with Khaled Wahba   A Generic Dynamic Model for Managing Channel Conflict in the Egyptian Lubricants Distribution Channels   Abstract

Ellison, James with Andjelka Kelic and Thomas Corbet   Is A Natural Gas Strategic Reserve for the US Necessary? A System Dynamics-Based Approach   Abstract Paper Supporting

Eskici, Burak with Burak Turkgulu   Modeling the Dynamics of Avian Influenza Epidemics and Possible Pandemics   Abstract Paper Supporting

Ewers, Mary with Lori Dauelsberg   Pandemic Influenza Mitigation Strategies and their Economic Impacts   Abstract Paper

Fincher, Stephanie with Krystyna Stave   A Proactive Approach for Particulate Matter Air Pollution Management   Abstract Paper

Fisher, Diana with Debra Lyneis and Lees Stuntz   Teaching Your Children System Dynamics/Systems Thinking   Abstract

Fisher, Diana   Modeling Dynamic Systems: Lessons for a First Course (new chapter on delays)   Abstract

Ford, Andrew   Global Warming and System Dynamics   Abstract Paper

Forest, Tom   Maya Apocalypse: Warfare-Punctuated Equilibrium at the Limit of Growth   Abstract Paper Supporting

Forrester, Jay   System Dynamics—the Next Fifty Years   Abstract Paper

Fracassi, Eduardo   Workshop - The Career Simulator - Which ar the key decisions in Career Planning?   Abstract Paper Supporting

Franck, Travis   Choice of utility functions in integrated assessment: how subjective well-being can influence policy analysis   Abstract Paper Supporting

Franco, Douglas   Fifty Years of Table Functions   Abstract Paper

Friedman, Sheldon with Steven Cavaleri and Mike Raphael   Individual Learning Style and Systems Tool Preferences   Abstract Paper

Fryling, Margaret   The Dynamics of ERP Success   Abstract Paper

Garagic, Denis with Iavor Trifonov, Paolo Gaudiano and David Dickason   Agent-Based Modeling as a Tool for Manpower and Personnel Management   Abstract Paper Supporting

Garcia, Rosanna   Co-opetition for the Diffusion of Resistant Innovations: A Case Study in the Global Wine Industry using an Agent-based Model   Abstract Paper

Gary, Shayne with Martin Kunc, John Morecroft and Scott Rockart   System Dynamics and Strategy: Accomplishments and Future Opportunities   Abstract Paper

Gary, Shayne with Geoff McDonnell   Australasia Chapter Overview & Planned Activities   Abstract

Gary, Shayne with Robert Wood   Testing the Effects of a System Dynamics Decision Aid on Mental Model Accuracy and Performance on Dynamic Decision Making Tasks   Abstract Paper

Garzia, Carmine   Untangling the Origins of Strategic Innovation. A System Dynamics Approach   Abstract Paper Supporting

Gassmann, Fritz with Mathias Bosshardt   Theory of Stable Dynamical Systems   Abstract Paper

Ghaffarzadegan, Navid with Amir Tajrishi and Niyousha Hosseinichimeh   Economic Transition Management in Iranian Cement Industry   Abstract Paper Supporting

Ghaffarzadegan, Navid   How a System Backfires: From a Redundancy Solution to Redundancy Problems in Security   Abstract Paper Supporting

Glass-Husain, Will   Getting Started With Forio Broadcast   Abstract Link

Goldsmith, Daniel with Michael Siegel and Masanori Akiyama   Improving Hospital Operations Using Bar-Code Capture Data and System Dynamics Modeling Techniques   Abstract Supporting

Goncalves, Paulo   Returns in the Corn Supply Chain   Abstract Paper

Gonzalez, Jose   Security Roundtable   Abstract

Gonzalez, Jose   Security Special Interest Group   Abstract

Groesser, Stefan with Thomas Beck   Swiss Chapter Poster Presentation   Abstract Link

Groesser, Stefan with Matteo Pedercini   Student Chapter Poster Presentation   Abstract Paper Link

Groesser, Stefan   The Structure and Dynamics of the Residential Building: Which Mechanisms Determine the Development of the Building Stock?   Abstract Paper Link

Groesser, Stefan with Suzanne Bruppacher   Decisions in the Construction Process of the Residential Building Environment: Development of a Static and Dynamic Model   Abstract Paper Link

Groesser, Stefan with Chintan Vaishnav   System Dynamics PhD Colloquium   Abstract Link

Groessler, Andreas with Peter Milling   Inductive and Deductive System Dynamics Modeling   Abstract Paper

Groessler, Andreas with Alexander Zock   Tell me ‘why’ or ‘how’ – A Heuristic to Choose between Quantitative and Qualitative Systems Analysis   Abstract Paper

Haslett, Tim   From Hospital Plans to Computer Simulation: A Case Study of the Alfred Centre.   Abstract Paper

Haveland, Tone with Steinar Moen, Arne Krakenes and Bjørn Storegjerde   Integrating Dynamic Simulation and Risk Analysis in Geographic Information Systems (GIS)   Abstract Supporting

Heijkoop, Gerrit with Scott Cunningham   System Dynamics Modeling of Benefit Realization When Adopting New Software   Abstract Paper

Helal, Magdy with Luis Rabelo, Jose Sepulveda and Albert Jones   A methodology for Integrating and Synchronizing the System Dynamics and Discrete Event Simulation Paradigms   Abstract Paper

Hirsch, Gary   Special Convened Session: Simulation-Based Learning Environments   Abstract

Hirsch, Gary   Health Policy Special Interest Group Poster Presentation   Abstract

Ho, Yufeng   Simulation and Analysis of Taichung Urban Ecosystem   Abstract Paper

Homer, Jack with Gary Hirsch and Bobby Milstein   Chronic Illness in a Complex Health Economy: The Perils and Promises of Downstream and Upstream Reforms   Abstract Paper

Hovmand, Peter with David Ford, Stavroula Kyriakakis and Ingrid Flom   Women Arrested for Domestic Violence: Unintended Consequences of Pro and Mandatory Arrest Policies   Abstract Paper Supporting

Hovmand, Peter with David Gillespie   Dynamics of Innovation Implementation and Organizational Performance in Mental Health Services   Abstract Paper Supporting

Howick, Susan with Jason Whalley   Broadband adoption: the case of rural and remote Scotland   Abstract Paper

Hu, Qian   An experimental study on the construction of electricity power stations in China   Abstract Paper Supporting

Huang, Lizhen   The bullwhip effect in the closed loop supply chain   Abstract Paper Supporting

Incioglu, Firat   A Dynamic Simulation Model for Long-Term Hypertension Progression   Abstract Paper Supporting

Jay, Jason with George Roth   From Continuous Improvement to Centralized Information: The Life and Times of a Systems Thinking Intervention   Abstract Paper

Jia, Jianguo with Yu Lu   System Dynamics Modeling for Overtime Management Strategy of Software Project   Abstract Paper Supporting

Jia, Jianguo with Jianxun Chu and Yu Lu   System Dynamics Modeling for Medicine Price Policy in China   Abstract Paper Supporting

Jia, Renan with Cuixia Wang and Xiaojing Jia   A system dynamics analysis of intensive pig farming eco-energy system based on the rate variable fundamental in-tree model   Abstract Paper

Joglekar, Nitin with Paulo Figueiredo   Dynamics of Project Screening in a Product Development Pipeline   Abstract Paper

John, Klaus   The Economics of Biomass-to-Liquids Fuels   Abstract Paper

Jones, Andrew with Jack Homer, Joyce Essien and Bobby Milstein   Moving from Insights to Action with the CDC Diabetes System Model   Abstract

Jones, Charles   Mental Models in an Emerging Industry: The Photovoltaic Industry in Massachusetts   Abstract Paper

Juerging, Jan   Engineering Change Orders influencing manufacturing start-ups   Abstract Paper

Kampmann, Christian Erik with Rogelio Oliva   Analytical methods for structural dominance analysis in system dynamics: An assessment of the current state of affairs   Abstract Paper

Kapmeier, Florian with Martin Schmalz and Theodor Ackbarow   Happiness - Cracking the Equilibrium State of People's Well-Being   Abstract Paper Supporting

Katsamakas, Evangelos with Nicholas Georgantzas   Open source software development: A systems dynamics model   Abstract Paper

Kelic, Andjelka with Elissa Matthews and Walt Beyeler   Telecommunications Operations Resiliency: Labor Shortages and the Voice Network   Abstract Paper

Kennedy, Michael with Carol Frances   Education Roundtable / PK-20+   Abstract

Kennedy, Michael with Carol Frances   The current activities and plans of the SDS Education SIG   Abstract Paper

Kim, Hyun-Shil with Namsung Ahn, Jaekook Yu and Yong-Beum Yoon   The Effects of the New Capacity Investment Behavior in the Korea Wholesale Electricity Market   Abstract Paper

Kim, Hyunjung   In Search of a Mental-Model-Like Concept for Group Level Modeling   Abstract Paper

Kim, Sang-Joon   When Cognitive Institution Collapses: A Case of “Master Kim” through a System Dynamics Model on the Action-Driven Process   Abstract Paper

Kljajic Borstnar, Mirjana with Miroljub Kljajic, Andrej Skraba and Davorin Kofjac   A Model of Group Learning Supported by Simulation Experiment   Abstract Paper

Koblov, Andrey with Vladimir Shiryaev   Firm Behavior Optimal Control on Mobile Service Market   Abstract Paper

Kossik, Rick   Getting Started with GoldSim Software   Abstract Paper Supporting Link

Kulhavy, Rudolf   Bayesian Analysis of Stochastic System Dynamics   Abstract Paper Supporting

Kunc, Martin   To Cluster or Not to Cluster: A Simulation Study of Managerial Practices for Innovating in SMEs   Abstract Paper

Laidler-Kylander, Nathalie with Bernard Simonin   Modeling Brand Equity in International Nonprofit Organizations: A System Dynamics Approach   Abstract Paper

Lane, David   Formal Theory Building for the Avalanche Game: Explaining surprising behaviour using geometrical & human behavioural effects   Abstract Paper

Lawless, Bill   An evolvable model of organizations: A bistable or quantum approach   Abstract Paper

LeClaire, Rene with Donatella Pasqualini, Alisa Bandlow, Mary Ewers, Jeanne Fair and Gary Hirsch   A Prototype Simulator for Infrastructure Protection: An Application to Decision Support for Controlling Disease Outbreaks   Abstract Paper

Lee, Man-Hyung with Nam Hee Choi   NIMBY Dynamics: Location Policy of Crematory Facilities in Korea   Abstract Paper

Lee, Tsuey-Ping   Using Systems Thinking to Improve Organizational Learning in the Public Sector : Perspective of Public Officials   Abstract Paper

Lee, Yen-Chiang with Showing Young   Crisis as the Touchstone of Trust: The Story between the Enterprise and Banks   Abstract Paper

Levine, Ralph   Psychology Chapter Poster Presentation   Abstract

Li, Anson with Kambiz Maani   Pitfalls in Decision-Making in Complex Systems   Abstract

Liu, Chao-Yueh with Chun-Shuo Chen   A System Dynamics Model of Bilateral Intellectual Property Negotiations   Abstract

Liu, Min with Cécile Emery   Private-Public Cycle: Testing Hirschman's Theory of Shifting Involvements with a Formal Model   Abstract Paper

Lopez, Luis with Albert Sune   Turnover-induced Forgetting   Abstract Paper

Lounsbury, David with Ralph Levine   Episode-of-Care Analysis and Tobacco Treatment in Primary Care Settings   Abstract Paper Supporting

Luna-Reyes, Luis with David Andersen   Towards a Theory of Interorganizational Collaboration: Generic Structures of Cross-Boundary Requirements Analysis   Abstract Paper

Lusk Brooke, Kathleen with Frank Davidson   Building the World: System Dynamics and Macroengineering   Abstract Supporting Link

Lyell, David with Geoff McDonnell   A Dynamic Balanced Scorecard for Managing Health Systems Performance   Abstract Paper

Lyneis, Debra with James Lyneis   Two Loops, Three Loops, Four Loops: Pedagogic Issues in Explaining Epidemic Dynamics   Abstract Paper

Lyneis, James   System Dynamics Applied to Project Management: A Survey, Assessment, and Directions for Future Research   Abstract

Lyneis, James   System Dynamics Applications Award   Abstract Citation for Winner

Lyneis, John with Matthew Forrester, Joe Hsueh and John Sterman   Extending the Industry Evolution Management Flight Simulators: Golf and Solar Industries   Abstract Paper

MacDonald, Roderick with Mohammad Mojtahedzadeh   Criminal Justice Simulation Model (CJSIM): Technology and the Flow of Criminals in the Criminal Justice System   Abstract Paper Supporting

Malczynski, Leonard with Edward Anderson   Proposed Inter- and Intra-national Conflict SIG   Abstract

Malczynski, Leonard   Advanced application design with Powersim Studio   Abstract Link

Malczynski, Leonard   Understanding Carbon Sequestration: A Systems Analysis Tool   Abstract Paper

Martinez-Moyano, Ignacio with Stephen Conrad, Andrew Cox and Chris Krahe   Modeling Aviation Security Processes: A Group Model Building Approach   Abstract Paper

Martinez-Moyano, Ignacio with David Sallach, Mark Bragen and Prakash Thimmapuram   Design for a Multi-Layer Model of Financial Stability: Exploring the Integration of System Dynamics and Agent-based Models   Abstract Paper

Mashayekhi, Ali with Peter Boggs   A System Dynamics Model of Asthma Care   Abstract

Mashayekhi, Ali with Keyvan Vakili and Hamid Foroughi   System Dynamics Learning Environment in Teaching Supply Demand Interactions   Abstract

McCutchan, Micah with Enrique Campos-Nanez   The Effect of Network Topology in Social Diffusion: A System Dynamics Approach   Abstract Paper Supporting

McDonnell, Geoff with Nathaniel Osgood, Andrei Borshchev, Özge Karanfil, Güven Demirel, Mark Heffernan, David Lyell and Rosemarie Sadsad   Multiscale Modeling in Anylogic6 with Health Examples   Abstract Link

McDonnell, Geoff with Gary Hirsch and David Rees   HPSIG: Health Policy Discussion Focused on Chronic Illness and Business Meeting   Abstract Paper Link

McGregor, Marion   Jurisdictional Control of Conservative Spine Care: Chiropractic versus Medicine   Abstract Paper Supporting

McKelvie, Douglas with Savas Hadjipavlou, David Monk, Samantha Foster, Eric Wolstenholme and David Todd   The use of SD methodology to develop services for the assessment and treatment of high risk serious offenders in England&Wales   Abstract Paper

Meadows, Dennis   Four Decades and Five Careers in System Dynamics   Abstract Paper

Meadows, Dennis   Dynamics of Growth in the New Hampshire Prison Population   Abstract

Medina-Borja, Alexandra with Kalyan Pasupathy   Uncovering Complex Relationships in System Dynamics Modeling: Exploring the Use of CHAID and CART   Abstract Paper

Mehmood, Arif   Understanding the Dynamics of Causal Factors related to Excessive Speeding Behavior of the Drivers   Abstract Paper Supporting

Mehmood, Arif   Application of System Dynamics to Human Resource Management of Canadian Naval Reserves   Abstract Paper

Melhuish, James   Dynamic Experiments for Learning Basic Modeling   Abstract Paper Supporting

Miczka, Switbert   German Chapter Poster Presentation   Abstract

Miller, David with John Sterman   New Venture Commercialization of Clean Energy Technologies   Abstract Paper Supporting

Milling, Peter   Jay W. Forrester Award Ceremony   Abstract

Minami, Nathan with Leticia Soto and Donna Rhodes   Improving the Naval Construction Process Through Lean Implementation   Abstract Paper Supporting

Minami, Nathan with Donna Rhodes   Network Centric Operations and the Brigade Unit of Action   Abstract Paper Supporting

Minnich, Dennis with Frank Maier   Responsiveness and Efficiency of Pull-Based and Push-Based Planning Systems in the High-Tech Electronics Industry   Abstract Paper

Mojtahedzadeh, Mohammad   Do the Parallel Lines Meet? A Comparison between Pathway Participation Metrics and Eigenvalue Analysis   Abstract Paper Supporting

Mojtahedzadeh, Mohammad   Why Do Different Methods in Model Analysis Produce Similar Results?   Abstract

Mollona, Edoardo with Stefano Armenia   SYDIC: System Dynamics Italian Chapter Poster Presentation   Abstract Paper

Mollona, Edoardo with Alessandro Sposito   Transaction Costs and Outsourcing Dynamics: A System Dynamics Approach   Abstract Paper Supporting

Moore, Andrew with Dawn Cappelli, Hannah Joseph and Randall Trzeciak   An Experience Using System Dynamics to Facilitate an Insider Threat Workshop   Abstract Paper

Mora Luna, Ana Maria with Pål Davidsen   An Investigation of the Innovation Performance in the Capital Goods Sector in Colombia: Using the System Dynamics Approach   Abstract Paper Supporting Link

Morecroft, John   Fish and Ships – Fishery Dynamics with Bounded Rationality   Abstract Paper

Morita, Michiya with Yutaka Takahashi   Japan Chapter Activity Report   Abstract Paper Link

Morrison, J. Bradley with Jenny Rudolph and John Carroll   Modeling the Dynamics of Time-pressured Diagnostic Sensemaking   Abstract Paper

Morrison, J. Bradley   Insights from Modeling the Dynamics of Process Improvement   Abstract Paper

Mosekilde, Erik   Applying System Dynamics in Medicine and Biology   Abstract

Moxnes, Erling   Green tax, trucker actions, media coverage, misperception and political reversal   Abstract Paper

Moxnes, Erling   The unavoidable a priori, revisited, or deriving the principles of SD   Abstract Paper

Munitic, Ante with Merica Sliskovic, Mirko Bilic and Marko Tomasevic   System dynamics continuous modelling of endangered systems   Abstract

Nazzari, Sara with Hamid Foroughi and Navid Ghaffarzadegan   Organization’s Changes Through its Lifecycle; A System Dynamics Approach   Abstract Paper

O'Reilly, Gerard with Rene LeClaire, Chris White and Alan Weiss   High Level Internet Modeling   Abstract Paper

Olaya, Camilo with Fabio Diaz Pabon and Santiago Caicedo   Towards a System Dynamics Model of De Soto’s Theory on Informal Economy   Abstract Paper

Osgood, Nathaniel   Using Traditional and Agent-Based Toolsets for System Dynamics:   Abstract Paper

Osgood, Nathaniel   Lightening the Performance Burden of Individual-Based Models through Dimensional Analysis and Scale Modeling   Abstract Paper Supporting

Osipenko, Leeza   Russian Chapter Poster Presentation   Abstract Link

Osipenko, Leeza   Management of RhD-negative Pregnancies: Do New Technologies Make a Difference?   Abstract Paper

Otto, Peter with Martin Simon   Structural Interventions in Electronic Networks of Practice: A Dynamic Grid/Group Model of Growth and Decline.   Abstract Paper

Ozolins, Gints with Juris Kalnins   Agricultural Production and Income Dynamics in Latvia   Abstract Paper

Pala, Özge with Dirk Vriens and Jac Vennix   Effects of Causal Loop Diagrams on Escalating Commitment   Abstract Paper

Park, Jung-Yeon with Namsung Ahn, Yong-Beum Yoon, Kyung-ho Koh and Derek Bunn   Investment Incentives in the Korean Electricity Market   Abstract Paper

Passell, Howard with Will Peplinski, Leonard Malczynski and Marty Ennis   Modeling for Sensitivity Analysis in Endangered Fish Species Management   Abstract Paper

Pasupathy, Kalyan with Kostas Triantis   Investments in Operational Attributes and Impact on Outcomes in Training Services   Abstract Paper

Pavlov, Oleg with Robert Plice and Nigel Melville   A Communication Model with Limited Information-Processing Capacity of Recipients   Abstract Paper

Pavlov, Oleg with David Wheat   Economics Roundtable: Teaching Economics with SD   Abstract

Pavlov, Oleg with David Wheat   Economics Chapter Poster Presentation   Abstract

Pedercini, Matteo with Siaka Sanogo and Karounga Camara   Threshold21 Mali: System Dynamics-based national development planning in Mali   Abstract Paper

Pedercini, Matteo with Birgit Kopainsky, Pål Davidsen and Stephen Alessi   Blending planning and learning for national development   Abstract Paper

Perez Salazar, Gloria with Carlos Scheel and Maria Martinez Medina   Achievements teaching Systems Thinking and Systems Dynamics to Graduate students through e-learning   Abstract Paper

Perez Salazar, Gloria with Karla Cabrera, Vissalia Miramontes, Manuel Godoy and Carlos Scheel   Nemak: A look in to the future using a Dynamic Balanced Scorecard   Abstract Paper

Persona, Alessandro with Fabio Sgarbossa, Maurizio Faccio and Daria Battini   The Logistic Game®   Abstract Paper

Phaff, Willem Geert with Jill Slinger   Visualising the Effects of Non-linearity by Creating Dynamic Causal Diagrams   Abstract Paper

Phelan, Michael with Seán McGarraghy   Mitigating the Bullwhip Effect in Supply Chains using Grammatical Evolution   Abstract Paper

Pierson, Kawika   Modeling Decision Making Biases in the Context of a Market   Abstract Paper Supporting

Pieters, Angele with Arie Franx and Henk Akkermans   E pluribus unum: Using group model building with many interdependent organizations to create integrated health care networks   Abstract Paper

Pruyt, Erik   The EU-25 Power Sector: a System Dynamics Model of Competing Electricity Generation Technologies   Abstract Paper Supporting

Pruyt, Erik   Dealing with Uncertainty? Combining System Dynamics with Multicriteria Decision Analysis or with Exploratory Modelling   Abstract Paper Supporting

Pruyt, Erik with Jan Kwakkel   Combining System Dynamics and Ethics: Towards More Science?   Abstract Paper

Quigley, Michael with Andrew Fleming, Brian Dangerfield and James Kearney   System Dynamics Modelling of Competing UK Construction Firms   Abstract

Qureshi, Muhammad   System Dynamics Modeling of Sustainable Food Security in Pakistan   Abstract Supporting

Radianti, Jaziar with Jose Gonzalez   A Preliminary Model of the Vulnerability Black Market   Abstract Paper

Radzicki, Michael   In Defense of System Dynamics: A Response to Professor Hayden   Abstract Paper

Rafferty, Martin   Reductionism, Holism and System Dynamics   Abstract Paper

Rahmandad, Hazhir   Why myopic policies persist? Impact of growth opportunities and competition   Abstract Paper Supporting

Rahn, R. Joel   Dana Meadows Award Ceremony   Abstract Paper

Raman, K. with T. Rajan   Disease Modeling with Application to Parasite-borne Diseases   Abstract Paper

Randers, Jorgen   The emergence of Limits to Growth Scenario 2: The pollution crisis   Abstract Paper

Randers, Jorgen with Ulrich Goluke   Forecasting Turning Points in Shipping Freight Rates – Lessons from 30 Years of Practical Effort   Abstract Paper Supporting

Rich, Eliot with Mark Nelson and Andrew Whitmore   IT Project Management, Concept Modeling, and Blind Dates   Abstract Paper

Robadue, Donald with Raul del Moral Simanek   A system dynamics perspective on a global fishing enterprise: the case of tuna ranching industry in Mexico   Abstract Paper Supporting

Roberts, Edward with Jack Pugh and David Packer   System Dynamics Pioneers Panel Discussion   Abstract

Rosser, J. Barkley   Computational and Dynamic Complexity in Economics   Abstract Paper

Rossi, Tommaso with Carlo Noe, Margherita Pero and Andrea Sianesi   Supply network design and collaboration: a preliminary study   Abstract Paper Supporting

Rouwette, Etiënne with Paul van Hooff, Jac Vennix and Wouter Jongebreur   Modeling crime control in the Netherlands: insights on process   Abstract Paper

Roy, K. R. Divakar   Modelling and Analysis of Production System of A Steel Plant- A System Dynamics Approach   Abstract Paper Supporting

Rwashana Semwanga, Agnes with Ddembe Williams   Is Immunization Demand Equal to Immunization Coverage? A Case Study on Uganda Healthcare Provision   Abstract Paper Supporting

Rydzak, Felicjan with Edward Chlebus   Application of Resilience Analysis in Production Systems – Bombardier Transportation Case Study   Abstract Paper

Ryzhenkov, Alexander   Controlling Employment, Profitability and Proved Non-Renewable Reserves in a Theoretical Model of the U.S. Economy   Abstract Paper Supporting

Sadsad, Rosemarie with Geoff McDonnell   Using multi-scale systems simulation to evaluate health record solutions to improve medication use by the elderly   Abstract Paper Supporting

Saeed, Khalid   Trend Forecasting as Derivative Control   Abstract Paper

Salama, Ahmed with Khaled Wahba and Samir Makary   The Dynamic Impact of the Cost of Doing Business on SME’s in the Economy of Egypt   Abstract

Saleh, Mohamed with Pål Davidsen   Extending eigenvalue analysis to nonlinear models via incorporating higher order terms of Taylor series expansion   Abstract Paper Supporting

Salge, Markus   The Good, the Bad and the Mediocre: Creating Insightful Stories on Process Improvement   Abstract Paper Supporting

Sanchez, Juan with Julian Barquin, Efraim Centeno and Alvaro Lopez-Pena   System Dynamics Models for Generation Expansion Planning in a Competitive Framework: Oligopoly and Market Power Representation   Abstract Paper

Sardiwal, Sangeeta   Conceptualization and formulation of a UK health and social care system using System Dynamics   Abstract Paper

Sato, Jeremy with Bonnie Stansen   A System Dynamics Approach to Analyzing Violence, Death, and Displacement in Darfur   Abstract Paper Supporting

Sawicka, Agata with Felicjan Rydzak   Incorporating Delays in the Decision-Making Interface: An Experimental Study   Abstract Paper Supporting

Saysel, Ali with Firat Incioglu   CO2 Abatement and Trade with Economic Growth in the Long Term: Experimental Analysis   Abstract Paper

Schaffernicht, Martin with Isaac Dyner and Gloria Perez Salazar   Latin American Chapter of the System Dynamics Society   Abstract Link

Schaffernicht, Martin   Causality and diagrams for system dynamics   Abstract Paper Supporting

Schaffernicht, Martin   Educational quality and equality – why are they so hard to reconcile?   Abstract Paper

Schaffernicht, Martin   Peer Review Dialog Meeting   Abstract Paper

Scheffran, Jurgen with Todd BenDor, Yun Wang and Bruce Hannon   A Spatial-Dynamic Model of Introducing Bioenergy Crops in Illinois   Abstract Paper Supporting

Schwandt, Michael with Kostas Triantis and James Glenn   Intercollegiate Athletic Departments Performance Assessment   Abstract Paper

Schwandt, Michael   Modeling Risk Classification Scheme for System Dynamics Modeling   Abstract Paper

Schwaninger, Markus with Kristjan Ambroz and Camilo Olaya   The Complexity Challenge: A Case for Model-based Management   Abstract Paper

Schwarz, Doreen   Effects of naïve personnel policy on the value of human capital   Abstract Paper

Senge, Peter with Andrew Jones, Linda Sweeney, John Sterman, Juan Martin Garcia, Michael Tempel and Thomas Fiddaman   The Climate Bathtub Sim: An Interactive Simulator to Teach Stock-and-Flow Mechanics of Global Warming   Abstract

Senge, Peter with Donald Seville   Partnering for Sustainable Value Chain Network   Abstract

Sivertson, Stuart   A Systems Dynamics Model of Fish Populations in Western Lake Superior   Abstract Paper Supporting

Skraba, Andrej with Miroljub Kljajic, Davorin Kofjac, Andrej Knaflic and Iztok Podbregar   Development of a Human Resources Transition Simulation Model in Slovenian Armed Forces   Abstract Paper

Soto-Torres, M. Dolores with Ramon Fernandez-Lechon and Pedro Fernandez Soto   A system dynamics model about public corruption: the influence of bribes on economic growth   Abstract Paper Supporting

Stave, Krystyna with Megan Hopper and Stephanie Fincher   What Constitutes Systems Thinking? A review of practitioner views   Abstract Paper

Steel, Katherine   The Choice Between Grid and Off-grid Electrification in Kenya and its Impact on System Development   Abstract Paper

Stephens, Craig   The Value of System Dynamics in the Wider World: an Outside-In View   Abstract Paper

Stouten, Hendrik with Kris Van Craeynest, Aime Heene, Xavier Gellynck, Jochen Depestele, Els Vanderperren, Bart Verschueren and Hans Polet   A preliminary microworld to gain insights in Belgian fishery fleet dynamics.   Abstract Paper

Strohhecker, Jürgen   Does a Balanced Scorecard Management Cockpit Increase Strategy Implementation Performance?   Abstract Paper

Struben, Jeroen   From stylized facts to multiple mechanisms: diffusion analysis of past and present alternative fuel introductions   Abstract Paper

Stuntz, Lees   K-12 Open Discussion   Abstract

Stuntz, Lees with Debra Lyneis   System Dynamics in K-12 Education: Lessons Learned   Abstract Paper

Stuntz, Lees   Celebration of System Dynamics in K-12 Education; Honoring Jay Forrester   Abstract

Supple, Derek   Managing the Transition toward Self-Sustaining Alternative Fuel Vehicle Markets: Policy Analysis Using a Dynamic Model   Abstract Paper

Sveen, Finn Olav with Jose Mari Sarriegi and Jose Gonzalez   Incident Learning Systems: From Safety to Security   Abstract Paper

Tan, Burcu with Edward Anderson and Geoffrey Parker   Managing Risk in Alternative Energy Product Development   Abstract Paper

Tawileh, Anas with Stephen McIntosh   Network Bandwidth Estimation: A System Dynamics Approach   Abstract Paper

Tawileh, Anas with Stephen McIntosh, Brent Work and W.K. Ivins   The Dynamics of Software Testing   Abstract Paper

Taylor, Ivan with Luminita Stemate, Codrin Pasca and Soni Desai   Using Feedback to Conduct Crowd Control   Abstract Paper Supporting

Taylor, Timothy with David Ford and Andrew Ford   Model Analysis Using Statistical Screening: Extensions and Example Applications   Abstract Paper Supporting

Taylor, Timothy with David Ford and James Lyneis   Project Controls to Minimize Cost and Schedule Overruns: A Model, Research Agenda, and Initial Results   Abstract Paper Supporting

Tebaldi, Claudio with Giorgio Colacchio   Chaotic Behavior in a Modified Goodwin's Growth Cycle Model   Abstract Paper

Thompson, Kate with Peter Reimann   Do school students learn more about the environment from a system dynamics model by themselves or with a partner?   Abstract Paper

Tian, Fang   A Research on Systems Thinking Based on Three Dimensions Thought   Abstract Paper Supporting

Tignor, Warren   System Dynamics: Publication Metrics (2000-2005)   Abstract Paper Supporting

Trailer, Jeff   The Problem of Delayed Discharge in Labor and Delivery   Abstract Paper

Van Den Durpel, Luc with Andrea Bassi   Energy SIG: Overview   Abstract Link

van Zijderveld, Erik   MARVEL - principles of a method for semi-qualitative system behaviour and policy analysis   Abstract Paper

Vaziri, Hoda with Mohammad Akbarpour   An investigation into Electricity Subsidy Dynamics by a System Dynamics Approach   Abstract Paper Supporting

Vazquez, Margarita with Manuel Liz   System Dynamics and Philosophy. A constructivist and expressivist approach.   Abstract Paper

Voyer, John with Susan Bassi Brown, Nathan Gage, Dmitry Kovalenko and Travis Williams   A System Dynamics Approach to Improving An Advising System for Business School Undergraduates   Abstract Paper Supporting

Wahba, Khaled   Leukemia Dynamics: Understanding the Mechanism of Stem Cell Transplant for the Chronic Myelogenous Leukemia (CML) Treatment   Abstract

Wahba, Khaled   Leukemia Dynamics:The Role of the Immune System against Chronic Myelogenous Leukemia (CML)   Abstract

Wakeland, Wayne   Modeling Fishery Regulation & Compliance: A Case Study of the Yellowtail Rockfish   Abstract Paper Supporting

Wang, Qifan    Presidential Address - The 50th Anniversary of System Dynamics   Speech

Warren, Kim   Standard Business Architectures for Engaging Management   Abstract

Warren, Kim   Connecting System Dynamics with Management Disciplines and Methods   Abstract

Warren, Kim   Getting Started with MyStrategy Software   Abstract

Warren, Kim   Strategy Dynamics: Introduction and New Developments   Abstract

Weber, Lars   Understanding Recent Developments in Growth Theory   Abstract Paper

Weil, Henry   Application of System Dynamics to Corporate Strategy: An Evolution of Issues and Frameworks   Abstract Paper

Weitert, Christian   Analysis of Investor Behavior in an Artificial Stock Market   Abstract Paper Supporting

Wheat, David   The Feedback Method of Teaching Macroeconomics: Is it Effective?   Abstract Paper

Wilks, Jason with Weishuang Qu and Matteo Pedercini   A Dynamic Analysis of Organized Crime in Jamaica   Abstract Paper

Winz, Ines with Gary Brierley and Kambiz Maani   Participatory Methods in Environmental System Dynamics Projects   Abstract Paper

Winz, Ines with Gary Brierley and Robert Cavana   The Use of System Dynamics Simulation in Integrated Water Resources Management   Abstract Paper

Wolstenholme, Eric with David Monk and David Todd   The contribution of system dynamics to cost benefit analysis   Abstract Paper

Wolstenholme, Eric with David Monk, David Todd, Douglas McKelvie, Patrick Gillespie and Denis O'Rourke   Reallocating Mental Health Resources in the Borough of Lambeth, London, UK   Abstract Paper

Wu, Bing with Liqin Zhang   China Chapter Poster Presentation   Abstract Link

Yaghootkar, Kazem with Lars-Uno Roos   The Role of Systemic Effects on Project Performance in Multiproject Environments   Abstract Paper

Yamaguchi, Kaoru   Balance of Payments and Foreign Exchange Dynamics - SD Macroeconomic Modeling (4) -   Abstract Paper

Yasarcan, Hakan with Yaman Barlas   A Comprehensive Model of Goal Dynamics in Organizations: Setting, Evaluation and Revision   Abstract Paper Supporting

Ye, Jacqueline   Improving Maintenance Operation through Transformational Outsourcing   Abstract Paper

You, Jiong with Qifan Wang and Lizhen Huang   Investigation of Impacts of Dynamic Concurrence on Development Project Manageability   Abstract Paper

Young, Showing with Shyh-Jane Li, Yu-Ying Huang and An-ho Tsai   Analyze word-of-mouth effect in terms of macro-behavior: The herd behavior in Chinese market   Abstract Paper

Yucel, Gönenç with Yaman Barlas   Pattern-based System Design/Optimization   Abstract Paper

Zahn, Erich   Strategic Modelling in a Learning Factory   Abstract

Zhang, Qi   A Study of Diesel Vehicle Diffusion in Europe: Calibration and Analysis of a Consumer Acceptance and Adoption Model   Abstract Paper Supporting

Zimmermann, Nicole   System-Dynamical Analysis of Mutability, Rational and Emotional Commitment for Explaining Failure to Change in Organizations   Abstract Paper

System Dynamics Society
Conference Proceedings updated: October 22, 2007.